The Source - January 4, 2016

Weather Update

Wet and cool this week out West as a series of 4 powerful storm systems roll in off the Pacific. These storms will tap into the subtropical moisture out in the Pacific adding extra punch/precipitation to the systems. Powerful winds (20-40mph) and below average temperatures will accompany the storms as the roll in through the week. These systems will impact the entire West Coast, Northern Mexico and the Southwestern Desert regions.
a weak frontal system will bring showers to Southern Florida today as high pressure builds through mid-week. Another system approaches the Northern half of the state late this week.

Freight Update

California and Arizona trucks will be steady for balance of the week. Washington and Idaho trucks remain tighter than normal and should remain that way for the next few weeks. The National Average on diesel fuel dropped slightly and is now $2.211 per gallon. A difference of $0.926 from this time last year. California prices dropped slightly and are currently at 2.595 per gallon. Crude oil remained steady and is at $36.60 per barrel.

Commodity Updates (Click row for summary) Expand All

Apples

Washington - red delicious are steady and most suppliers continue to peak on 72/80/88s. 113 and smaller reds remain short. Golden delicious are steady and are still producing mostly Wash-Extra 100/113s. Most suppliers don't have much larger than an 88-size Golden. The Granny-smith market is steady on all sizes and they are peaking on 88/100/113s. Most Granny shippers don't have much larger than an 88 and they have limited supplies of 125's and smaller as well. Galas are steady on all sizes and continue to peak on 100/113s. Most Gala shippers don't have much fruit larger than an 88. Fujis are steady and continue to peak on extra-fancy 80/88/100's. Honeycrisp are steady to higher and the market is strong due to light supplies. Honeycrisp are still peaking on 64/72s. Lower grade Honeycrisp remain relatively cheap but supplies are limited. Jonagolds and Braeburns are both steady and continue to peak on 72/80/88's. The quality for all varieties has been good.
Michigan - Red delicious are steady on all sizes and are still peaking on 80/88s. Most Michigan packers have limited supplies of 125 and 138 reds. McIntosh are steady and they are heavier to 125/138s. Galas are steady on all sizes and are peaking on 125/138s. Golden delicious are steady and they are still peaking on 125/138s. Jonathans are steady on all sizes and they are still peaking on 150/138/125s. Fujis are steady and they are peaking on 125/138s. Jonagolds, Red Romes, and Ida-reds, and are all still available.
New York - Red delicious, Macs, Galas, Cameos, Romes, Crispins, Empire, and Golden delicious are all steady. Empire and Red Rome volume is good and some shippers will flex on certain sizes and grades. The quality has been good on all varieties.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Wenatchee/Yakima, WA and Hood River, OR Steady Good
Coopersville/Belding/Sparta, MI Steady Good
Hudson/Pleasant Valley/Red Hook, NY Steady Good
Asparagus Alert

Asparagus is still a major problem with availability. Supplies from Peru and Mexico are non existent. Peru is just about finished and Mexico is dealing with cold temperatures in the Baja and Caborca growing regions. The market is extremely active and this type of situation will last possibly through the month of January.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Extremely limited supplies and Active Market

Growing Region Market Quality
Caborca, Mexico Higher Fair
Ica, Peru to Trujillo Higher Fair
Southern Baja, MX Higher Fair
Avocado (Mexican)

Mexican shipments starting to pick back up this week. We are seeing a size curve running much heavier toward the 32s/36s/40s sizes followed by 48s. The availability on the smaller sizes of 60's/70s remain very limited and an issue with most shippers.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Michoacan, Mexico Steady/Higher Good
Berries (Blackberries)

Mexico is ramping up production volume and increasing shipments to both the East and West coasts. Weather has been more favorable and we should see quality improve over recent weeks.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Central Mexico Steady Fair
Berries (Blueberries)

Vessels from South America carrying containers of blueberries have been delayed on the water inbound for both coasts this week. We begin the week with limited availability and should see more fruit hitting in CA by mid-week.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Southern Chile Steady/Higher Good
Central Mexico Steady Good
Trujillo, Peru Steady Good
Berries (Raspberries)

Production has decreased significantly in CA and most fruit is now coming from Central Mexico. Quality has improved with more favorable weather, minimal issues reported.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Central Mexico Steady/Higher Good
Berries (Strawberries) Alert

Demand exceeds supply in CA. Cold daytime and nighttime temperatures are keeping production volumes low and slowing down the ripening process. Significant rain (up to 3 inches) is also forecasted for the Oxnard growing region over several days this week along with strong winds. Weather will play a significant role with delays and possible cancellations in production this week and next. White shoulders are being reported in the new crop. Florida has been very warm for the past several weeks. Fruit size is small, berries are soft with bruising. An expected cold front this week brings cooler temperatures and should help to improve both size and quality in the next week. Mexico is expecting more warm days but nights will be cooling off. This should help fruit begin to size up and become more firm as well. Production volume from Mexico should be increasing over the next several weeks.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Demand exceeds supply in CA and with significant rain and wind in the forecast for Oxnard's growing regions this week, supply could become even more limited to not available.

Growing Region Market Quality
Oxnard, CA Steady/Higher Good
Central Florida Steady Fair
Central Mexico Steady Fair
Broccoli

Broccoli is still having supply issues in all growing regions. There seems to be better supplies of bunched broccoli versus broccoli crowns. Shipper are having an easier time packing bunched based on the much smaller crown size. This trend seems to be in Santa Maria, Salinas, Mexico, and Yuma. Processors are still struggling to cover orders and continue to purchase broccoli crown acreage keeping the carton market active.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Salinas Valley, CA Steady/Higher Good
Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady/Higher Good
Yuma, AZ Steady/Higher Good
Celaya Guanjuato Mexico Steady/Higher Good
Brussels Sprouts Alert

Supplies are the main reason this commodity is at above normal pricing. Salinas is still harvesting product but the extreme cold weather up here is causing serious problems with sizing. Also the cold weather in Mexico is holding back supplies of new crop. Sizing will still be limited to small to medium. Look for this to continue for the next three weeks.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Limited Supplies and Active Market all week due to sizing and cold temperatures in the growing regions.

Growing Region Market Quality
Salinas Valley, CA Higher Fair
Northern Baja California Norte, Mexico Higher Fair
Carrots

Cold weather continues to hamper size growth on the carrot crop. Percentage of jumbo size is very low and we are seeing markets jump up this week.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Bakersfield/Santa Maria, CA Higher Excellent
Cauliflower Alert

This week looks to be better with supplies basically due to limited demand. The market has finally shown some signs of relief as well. The quality is still fair at best with yellow discoloration in some lots. Also arrivals have been showing up with black to brown spotting.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
The market has finally shown some signs of relief. Quality still fair at best.

Growing Region Market Quality
Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Lower/Steady Fair
Yuma, AZ Lower/Steady Fair
Celery Alert

The celery market is softening a bit with a few suppliers as demand has lessened. Yuma will not begin production for another two to three weeks at the minimum. Temperatures this week in the Southern California region will range from the 40-60s and rain is expected over the next three to four days. This will keep supplies snug throughout the week. Crews will be delayed in harvesting product. Sizing will be more readily available with thirty and thirty-six count packs.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Rain likely to cause delays in harvesting.

Growing Region Market Quality
Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Lower/Steady Good
Cherries

The cherry market is steady with inconsistent supplies for the month of January. The sketchy supply is due to weather related issues during the growing season. We expect cherries to finish out of Chile in the next few weeks.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Coquimbo/Valaparaiso/Santiago/Rancagua, Chile Steady/Higher Good
Cilantro Alert

Cilantro supplies are limited mainly due to cold weather in all growing regions, coupled with lack of labor for harvesting. Processed, 30 count, and 60 count cilantro supplies look to be in serious short supply for the next 2 weeks. Quality arrivals showing black slimy decay and yellowing in most packs.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Extreme Markets and Limited Supplies

Growing Region Market Quality
Baja, MX Higher Fair
Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Higher Fair
Citrus (Lemons) Alert

Lemon demand is very strong. Size is still peaking on 140s and larger, with 165s and smaller remaining very tight.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
We remain very tight on the smaller size fruit 165s/200s/235s. Expect tight supplies on these sizes to continue.

Growing Region Market Quality
Coachella, CA / Yuma, AZ Steady Good
Merced/Bakersfield, CA Steady Good
Oxnard/Ventura, CA Steady Good
Citrus (Limes)

The lime market is up on 175ct through 230ct. Good demand and fewer supplies has caused the market to rise. The overall quality level is good with some lots coming in with a bit of yellow mixed in with the green.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Veracruz, Mexico Higher Excellent
Citrus (Oranges)

Quality and supplies on California Navels are very good. Peak sizing still running on 72s/88s/113s. Growing area has rain predicted for the week, which could hamper picking some this week.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Merced to Bakersfield, CA Lower/Steady Excellent
Riverside, CA Lower/Steady Excellent
Grapes (Green)

The green seedless grape market is strong with light supplies. Demand is steady but is being mostly covered with current arrivals. As we move through the month of January we expect this market to moderate.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Coquimbo/Valaparaiso/Santiago/Rancagua, Chile Steady Good
Grapes (Red) Alert

Light volume and late vessels out of Chile have driven this market to an extreme demand exceeds supply situation. Arrivals look to be sporadic over the next few weeks but volume should improve on a weekly basis. We expect to see a more "normal" market by the end of January.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Red grapes continue in an extreme demand exceeds supply situation.

Growing Region Market Quality
Coquimbo/Valaparaiso/Santiago/Rancagua, Chile Steady Good
Green Onions Alert

As an industry green onions are in a severe supply gap. Cold weather,labor issues, and rain today in the growing regions has put a major strain on this market. Elevated markets and shippers walking in with no supplies what so ever have led to fill rates. Quality issues will be the problem now with the rains.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Extremely Limited Supplies and Historically High Markets

Growing Region Market Quality
Mexicali, Baja Higher Fair
Kale

Supplies are steady but the market is up due to some increased demand for the front side of the week. Good green color and full boxes have been see upon arrival. Not too sure where the market is headed but starting out it is a little stronger than it has been.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Baja, MX Steady/Higher Good
Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady/Higher Good
Lettuce Iceberg Alert

Rain in the Yuma region will occur Monday and Tuesday of this week. Temperatures will range for the week in the mid 60s on a high and mid to high 40s on the lows. Production for this commodity will be tight all week. Expect active markets. Escalated pricing is in effect. Crews again will be delayed in harvesting until mid-morning. Shorter hours and lack of labor will continue for the entire week. Next week's crews are expected to be better, but still tight this week. Yuma lettuce is reported to have light weights, small and irregular head size, puffiness, blister, peel and insect damage. These defects are industry wide. The weights on palletized lettuce are ranging from 32-38 pounds. Expect marginal quality with all suppliers for this commodity for the entire week, at a minimum.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Rain expected at the beginning of the week. Production will be slowed.

Growing Region Market Quality
Yuma, AZ Higher Fair
Lettuce Leaf Alert

Crews will be delayed due to rain in all the growing regions of Yuma and southern California for the first half of this week. Temperatures will be better however compared to last week. Delays in loading are inevitable. Short days and lack of labor will continue for the rest of this week. Next week, shippers are expecting a better count of workers. Blister and epidermal peel continue to be seen on romaine. Supplies are lighter with all shippers. Other defects expected to be seen include seeder, light weights, small and irregular head size, puffiness, and insect damage. These defects are industry wide. Green and red leaf and butter are tighter in availability as well. These commodities are having the same issues as romaine. Markets are expected to be active.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Rain in the growing regions causing delays.

Growing Region Market Quality
Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Higher Fair
Yuma, AZ Higher Fair
Melon (Cantaloupe)

Cantaloupe supplies are increasing. West coast supplies continue to build slowly but with the increase in supplies we should see better availability in the near future. The quality is very good overall. The peak size is 9ct with better supplies on 12ct and even 15ct finally. The 18ct are trickling in now. We are experiencing good demand on the cantaloupes that are arriving. The current market is lower on all sizes. Honduran grown lopes have been arriving in Florida for the last two weeks and the Guatemalan supplies are tapering off.

- pa_admin

Transitions:
Honduran lopes have been arriving for the last two weeks. Guatemalan growers are finishing up their first cycle of production.

Growing Region Market Quality
Choluteca, Honduras Lower Excellent
Zacapa, Guatemala Lower Good
Melon (Honeydew)

Demand is good on all sizes. The peak size for the offshore is 5ct while the small amount of Mexican dews are peaking on 8ct . Offshore dews continue to arrive on the west coast in low volume and some lots have spotting and occasional stem decay. Honduran grown honeydews will begin to arrive in Florida the first week or two of January. Mexican dews continue to ship out of Nogales AZ however many growers have finished and the volume is very light. Some lots of the offshore dews have been arriving with superficial spots caused by previous rains in Guatemala. The Mexican dews are very nice. The market is rising on all dews.

- pa_admin

Transitions:
Honduran dews are arriving this week in Florida.

Growing Region Market Quality
Zacapa, Guatemala Higher Good
Choluteca, Honduras Higher Good
Hermosillo, Mexico Higher Excellent
Onions

Idaho - Market is starting to firm up slightly on Yellow onions with reds to possibly to follow. This is typical for the start of the new year. The Red onions have had a good market from the start of harvest, so not sure how much more these shippers will push the red market. The two short holiday weeks have added some fuel to the extra demand. Quality is still be reported as good on most lots on onions being shipped currently.
Washington - Good export demand is helping push the onion market on both Yellow and Reds. Sizing is still peaking on Jumbo and smaller with very few Colossal yellow being packed this year. Quality is good. Look for the onion market to slowly increase over the next couple of weeks.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Ontario, OR to Nampa, ID Higher Good
Quincy/Hermiston, WA Higher Good
Pears

Washington - Bartletts are steady on all sizes but and the market remains strong with light availability. Bartletts continue to peak on 110/120s and the large sizes are limited. Bosc are steady and continue to peak on US#1 90/100/110s. Fancy bosc are limited on all sizes. D'anjou pears are steady and continue to peak on US#1 90/100s while all sizes of the fancy grade are short. Red pears are steady on all sizes and are still producing mostly half carton 45/50s and full carton 90/100s. The quality on Bartlett pears has varied. The D'anjou, Bosc, and red D'anjou pear quality has been good.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Wenatchee/Yakima, WA and Hood River, OR Steady Good
Pineapples

Supplies are beginning a seasonal drop in volume with lighter expected through Easter. Already seeing larger sizes tighten and the smaller sizes holding fairly steady in supplies currently.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
La Virgen, Costa Rica Higher Good
Heredia, Costa Rica Higher Good
Guapiles, Costa Rica Higher Good
La Cieba, Honduras Higher Good
Retalhuleu, Guatemala Higher Good
San Luis, Guatemala Higher Good
Potatoes

Idaho - Weather warmed up enough over the weekend for growers to haul potatoes to their packing sheds. It will take most of this week for shippers to get caught up with demand. The extra demand was caused by the two short holiday weeks and the very cold weather that stopped most growers from being able to haul potatoes to the packing sheds. Temperatures look to be in the low thirties the balance of this week with a chance of snow. This will keep the supplies of potatoes flowing to the packing sheds. Quality is being reported as good. Market is starting to firm up slightly on all sizes and packs which is typical for this time of the year.
Washington - Market is steady with good supplies of potatoes. Market is steady. Quality is being reported as good.
Colorado - Very light retail demand has the carton market very tight. Market is steady. Idaho has a retail promotion going for the next two months which will make it hard for these other growing areas to compete. Quality is good.
Wisconsin - Demand is moderate with a steady market. Quality is good.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Hamer/Rupert, ID Higher Good
Quincy/Hermiston, WA Steady Good
Eastern Colorado Steady/Higher Good
Plover/Bancroft, WI Steady Good
Potatoes (colored)

Bakersfield, California - reds and whites are steady on all sizes while golds are up slightly. All colors continue to peaking on A-size. Premium and baker size reds and golds remain limited. The quality on all colors has been good.
Western Washington - reds and golds are steady and they are peaking on A size. There are a few storage whites and they are also steady and peaking on As. The quality has been good on all sizes and colors.
Idaho - reds and golds are steady on all sizes. All colors continue to peak on A-size and the quality has been good.
Wisconsin - golds are steady on all sizes while reds are slightly higher, both colors are still peaking on A-size. The storage reds are starting to show a little age. Premium and baker reds, premium and baker golds, and gold Cs are all still short. The quality has been good.
North Dakota - Golds and reds are steady on all sizes and both colors continue to peak on size A. Premium and baker size potatoes remain limited in both colors. The quality has been good.

- pa_admin

Transitions:
South Florida will start to pack reds the week 1/25 and they will have light volume of golds and whites the following week.

Growing Region Market Quality
Bakersfield, CA Steady Good
Mount Vernon, WA Steady Good
Rupert to Rexburg, ID Steady Good
Red River Valley, ND Steady Good
Plover, WI Steady Fair
Stone Fruit Alert

We are seeing a steady market on peaches, plums and nectarines with only light supplies for the early part of the Chilean deal. Supplies are inconsistent but should steady out and improve as we move into the month of February. Quality is generally reported as good but typical of the early "hard" fruit we expect on the imports.

- pa_admin

Alerts:
Stone fruit supplies inconsistent out of Chile.

Growing Region Market Quality
Coquimbo, Valaparaiso, Santiago and Rancagua, Chile Steady Good
Tomatoes (Eastern)

Rounds - The market is steady / higher. Production and yields continue to come up short due to weather conditions. Florida continues to have warmer weather along with rains. Out west, colder temps along with rains continue to hamper supplies. Demand continues to be high. Quality is Good / Fair.
Roma - The market is steady / higher. Rounds also dealing with weather conditions throughout all regions. Rain and warmer weather creating production and yield issues. Demand continues to be high. Quality is Good / Fair.
Cherry - The market is higher. All regions continue to struggle with production and yield in Florida. Out west, weather also creating supply issues, which will should last through the rest of the week. Demand high for cherry's. Quality is Good / Fair.
Grape - The market is higher. Demand very high in all regions. Supplies and yields continue to come up short in the east, due to weather conditions. Quality is Good / Fair.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Northern Florida Steady/Higher Good
Southern Florida Steady/Higher Good
Tomatoes (Western)

Rounds - The market is steady / higher. Rains and colder temps in the west creating production and yield issues. Back east, rains and warmer temps also creating supply shortages. Demand continues to be strong. Quality is Good / Fair.
Roma - The market is steady / higher. Weather also continues to hamper supplies throughout all regions. Out west, rains and colder weather creating issues, and back east, rains and warmer weather patterns creating havoc with supplies. Demand continues to be strong. Quality is Good / Fair.
Cherry - The market is higher. Rains and cold temps continue to hamper supplies. Demand very strong, and should continue through the week. Quality is Good / Fair.
Grape - The market is higher. Weather still a struggle with rains and colder temps out west. Demand very strong in all regions. Back east, supplies continue to be very light.. Quality is Good / Fair.

- pa_admin
Growing Region Market Quality
Northern Baja California Norte, Mexico Steady/Higher Good
Northern Sonora, Mexico Steady/Higher Good

Things You Should Know

Asparagus
Extremely limited supplies and Active Market

Berries (Strawberries)
Demand exceeds supply in CA and with significant rain and wind in the forecast for Oxnard's growing regions this week, supply could become even more limited to not available.

Brussels Sprouts
Limited Supplies and Active Market all week due to sizing and cold temperatures in the growing regions.

Cauliflower
The market has finally shown some signs of relief. Quality still fair at best.

Celery
Rain likely to cause delays in harvesting.

Cilantro
Extreme Markets and Limited Supplies

Citrus (Lemons)
We remain very tight on the smaller size fruit 165s/200s/235s. Expect tight supplies on these sizes to continue.

Grapes (Red)
Red grapes continue in an extreme demand exceeds supply situation.

Green Onions
Extremely Limited Supplies and Historically High Markets

Lettuce Iceberg
Rain expected at the beginning of the week. Production will be slowed.

Lettuce Leaf
Rain in the growing regions causing delays.

Stone Fruit
Stone fruit supplies inconsistent out of Chile.

Transitions and Temperatures

Melon (Cantaloupe)
Honduran lopes have been arriving for the last two weeks. Guatemalan growers are finishing up their first cycle of production.

Melon (Honeydew)
Honduran dews are arriving this week in Florida.

Potatoes (colored)
South Florida will start to pack reds the week 1/25 and they will have light volume of golds and whites the following week.

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